Nature

Statistics: Known unknowns

Bayes' theorem of probability was proposed by English mathematician and clergyman Thomas Bayes in the 1740s, and rediscovered in the 1770s by Pierre Simon Laplace, a French mathematician. It states ...
Australian Broadcasting Corporation

The mathematical formula you use every day without realising it: Bayes' theorem

We live in a world where a lot of things seem to happen by pure chance, from winning the Lotto to losing your car keys. But the truth is, the likelihood of many everyday things happening is heavily ...
IEEE

Maximum Probability Theorem: A Framework for Probabilistic Machine Learning

Impact Statement: The choice of prior distribution over the parameters of probabilistic machine learning models determines the regularization of learning algorithms in the Bayesian perspective. The ...
Scientific American

What is Bayes's theorem, and how can it be used to assign probabilities to questions such as the existence of God? What scientific value does it have?

Chris Wiggins, an associate professor of applied mathematics at Columbia University, offers this explanation. A patient goes to see a doctor. The doctor performs a test with 99 percent ...